How many delegates will Trump win in February?


Trump is leading in all the polls following the latest GOP debate.




The first round of (2) primaries and (2) caucuses for February consists of the States of IA, NH, SC, and NV...133 delegates are up for grabs.




IA 2/1 Caucus 27pldgd 3unpldgd 30total (12d_15al_3rnc) proportional tossup State

NH 2/3 Primary 20pldgd 3unpldgd 23total (6d_14al_3rnc) proportional tossup State

SC 2/20 Primary 47pldgd 3unpldgd 50total (21d_26al_3rnc) proportional rep State 

NV 2/23 Caucus 27ppldgd 3unpldgd 30total (12d_15al_3rnc) proportional tossup State

pldgd=pledged; unpldgd=un-pledged; d=district delegate; al=at-large delegate; rnc=you know

All 4 States are proportional except for SC...which is a proportional / hybrid State.




SC is the only Republican State, and a majority will trigger a winner takes all provision.




Trump is in full attack mode in anticipation of the February opener...the only speed he knows.




For the poll...let's assume Trump wins all 50 delegates or nothing from SC.

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